National Bureau of Economic Research | NBER
WEBFounded in 1920, the NBER is a private, non-profit, non-partisan organization dedicated to conducting economic research and to disseminating research findings among academics, public policy makers, and business professionals.
Working Papers | NBER - National Bureau of Economic Research
WEBThe NBER distributes more than 1,200 Working Papers each year. Papers issued more than 18 months ago are open access. More recent papers are available without charge to affiliates of subscribing academic institutions, employees of NBER Corporate Associates, government employees in the US, journalists, and residents of low-income countries.
Business Cycle Dating | NBER
WEBThe NBER’s Business Cycle Dating Committee maintains a chronology of US business cycles. The chronology identifies the dates of peaks and troughs that frame economic recessions and expansions. A recession is the period between a peak of economic activity and its subsequent trough, or lowest point. Between trough and peak, the economy is in …
Research | NBER
WEBIn People’s Understanding of Inflation (NBER Working Paper 32497), Alberto Binetti, Francesco Nuzzi, and Stefanie Stantcheva present new survey results on the American public’s views on inflation. The survey collected information about individuals’ demographics, income, news sources, and voting habits as well as their opinions on the ...
Unpacking the Causes of Pandemic-Era Inflation in the US
WEBThe annual inflation rate, as measured by the Consumer Price Index, was 1.7 percent in February 2021 but rose to more than 5 percent in June 2021. It continued rising for another year, peaking at about 9 percent in June 2022. The rise in the inflation rate has been attributed to many factors. The US response to the COVID-19 pandemic included a ...
How the US-China Trade War Affected the Rest of the World
WEBA free monthly publication featuring non-technical summaries of research on topics of broad public interest. How the US-China Trade War Affected the Rest of the World. Upending a decades-long effort to reduce global trade barriers, China and the United States began mutually escalating tariffs on $450 billion in trade flows in 2018 and 2019 ...
About the NBER | NBER - National Bureau of Economic Research
WEBThe National Bureau of Economic Research (NBER) is a private, nonprofit organization that facilitates cutting-edge research on and analysis of major economic issues. It is nonpartisan and refrains from making policy recommendations, focusing instead on providing background studies and data that underlie decision-making in both the public and ...
Long-Run Trends and the Natural Rate of Unemployment
WEBJun 30, 2021 · In the aftermath of the Great Recession, the natural rate of unemployment gradually declines roughly in line with its secular trend. The natural rate toward the end of 2018 was 3.8 percent, with a confidence interval between 3.4 and 4.5 percent, consistent with the unemployment gap being around zero before the pandemic.
The Economic Impact of Climate Change over Time and Space
WEBJan 5, 2022 · By Klaus Desmet and Esteban Rossi-Hansberg. Climate change is an unintended consequence of the industrialization of the world economy. The evidence that human activity has released large amounts of CO2 into the atmosphere, leading to rising global temperatures, is by now uncontroversial. However, so far, the scientific and …
Public Use Data Archive | NBER
WEBThe NBER Public Use Data Archive is an eclectic mix of public-use economic, demographic, and enterprise data obtained over the years to satisfy the specific requests of NBER-affiliated researchers for particular projects. Files here are often in more convenient formats than the original data source. However, files that receive updates at the ...