Experts Worry Election-Betting Markets Are Skewed Ahead of Vote
Economists have long loved prediction markets. Even niche platforms such as the Iowa Electronic Markets and betting pools inside companies like Ford Motor Co. have been praised for their fortune-telling prowess.
Trump dominating over Harris in betting markets ahead of Election Day
Former President Trump is strongly favored to beat Vice President Harris in the 2024 presidential election, according to all but one prediction market.
Opinion
Opinion - Gambling on ‘vibes’ — why the betting markets are getting the election all wrong
The betting markets currently have Donald Trump at a 62% chance of winning Tuesday's election, but this is based on the bettors' models that rely on social media engagement, which may not accurately reflect the sentiment of the electorate.
Can betting markets accurately predict the 2024 US Presidential election results?
As betting markets gain influence in the 2024 US election, Polymarket and others report record bets favoring Trump.
Betting on the election is the hottest new trend. But can prediction markets keep the momentum going?
Platforms like Kalshi and Polymarket are reshaping election analysis through prediction markets, and it might not stop at politics.
Harris vs. Trump: Betting and prediction markets are picking a clear favorite
Over the past several weeks, Harris slid slightly, then the race tightened again, with Harris even briefly becoming the favorite. Tuesday, the Insider predicts, “will be a roller-coaster day.” Some betting experts believe a bet on Trump could be a simple wager that he’ll win Pennsylvania and cut off Harris’ most likely path to 270 electoral votes.
Trump, Harris make final election push
Vice President Kamala Harris and former President Donald Trump made their final pitches to voters in the same parts of Pennsylvania at roughly the same time. They spent the last full day of the presidential campaign in a state that could make or break their chances.
Trump’s Betting Market Lead Narrowed Over The Weekend—But He Remains Bookmakers Favorite To Win
Swings in the betting markets favoring Vice President Kamala Harris over the weekend were triggered by a key poll showing the Democrat ahead in the solidly red state of Iowa.
Betting markets put odds of Trump victory close to 60%
Political gamblers like Donald Trump's chances of winning a second term in the White House. RealClearPolitics shows an average of 6 betting platforms giving the former president a 59.2% chance of ...
Betting Platform Prices Point to a Trump Victory
Other betting markets have more consistently pointed to a Trump victory being the more probable outcome. Recent prices on ...
What are the odds of Trump winning? Betting markets say...
With polls closing in just a matter of hours, betting markets are firmly favouring Trump to secure a win. Polymarket, one ...
radaronline1d
ELECTION MANIA: Donald Trump's Chances of White House Win Slump in Betting Markets As Nail-Biting Election Day Looms
Donald Trump's once large margin of victory in presidential race betting markets has taken a hit days out from the election.
Presidential Betting Markets Are a Real-Time Experiment for Regulators—and It Could End Poorly
Billions have been wagered on the presidential election on platforms such as Kalshi and Polymarket. The bets are comically ...
What do betting markets say about control of Congress?
Election Day is less than a week away and voters are already heading to the polls and mailing in their ballots, and betting ...
Sixers Wire12d
2024 United States presidential election betting odds: Trump lead grows (Oct. 24 update)
According to a 2004 paper in the Journal of Economic Perspectives, the clear betting favorite in the month before the ...
Forget polling: Here’s what Wall Street, betting markets, and economic models say about the election
Investors are betting on the election in venues such as the stock market, where Donald Trump's media company trades, but also in novel areas including “prediction markets.” ...