According to household surveys, inflation expectations tend to move together with expectations for gasoline price changes.

Huiyu Li, research advisor at the Federal Reserve Bank of San Francisco, shared views on the current economy and the outlook ...

Economic activity in the Twelfth District was little changed during the July to mid-August reporting period. Employers largely maintained employment levels. Wages were up slightly. Prices rose ...

With the advent of generative artificial intelligence (GenAI), the scope of AI has increased dramatically, but its effect on labour productivity remains uncertain. Some innovations raise labour ...

Nearly 40% of small business respondents to the 2024 Small Business Credit Survey (SBCS) reported either using or planning to use artificial intelligence (AI), revealing a rapidly evolving landscape ...

The arrival of ChatGPT in late 2022 set off a wave of optimism about artificial intelligence and its potential to transform the economy. Yet actual productivity numbers seem to reflect a more modest ...

This data series is part of the Center for Monetary Research. The Treasury yield premium model by Jens H.E. Christensen and Glenn D. Rudebusch (CR) decomposes the nominal yield curve into three ...

CPI Inflation Contributions from Goods and Services updates data on how much different types of goods and services contribute to changes in consumer price index (CPI) inflation. This tool is intended ...

The China Cyclical Activity Tracker, China CAT, is an alternative measure of China’s economic growth based on research in Fernald, Hsu, and Spiegel (2020). The China CAT index measures fluctuations in ...

Economic activity in the Twelfth District was little changed during the July to mid-August reporting period. Employers largely maintained employment levels. Wages were up slightly. Prices rose ...

The unemployment rate has risen over half a percentage point since the second quarter of 2023. Individual survey data underlying the unemployment rate can help in assessing which labor market ...

Recent shifts in immigration flows have lowered the estimates of net international migration into the United States. New data indicate that net migration will be close to half a million people in 2025 ...