Silver released his final forecast after running 80,000 simulations of the race based on polling data and found that Harris with a 50.015% chance of winning compared to Trump’s 49.985% ...

Other polls found that Harris is running head-to-head with Trump in national surveys. In a March Fox News poll , Trump led Harris by six points and Biden by five points.

A stunning 51% of Hispanic, naturalized US citizens voted for Trump over Harris, according to the Pew Research Center’s 2024 ...

A YouGov poll, which surveyed 1,610 adults from May 30 to June 2, found that 9% of Democrats lean toward Ocasio-Cortez to ...

If the latest polls on the 2028 presidential race are any indication, the specter of the 2024 race will cast a long shadow ...

On the Republican side, where the race will be wide open because President Donald Trump cannot run again, it’s all Vice President JD Vance.

President Donald Trump’s approval rating was below 46% in a wave of new surveys this week, including one that found the majority of his voters don’t want the U.S. military to get involved in the ...

Polls taken soon after Joe Biden’s withdrawal in favor of Kamala Harris are now yielding to polls showing steady gains for Harris against Trump. That’s now a trend, not just a bounce, though ...

Trump’s voters were more racially and ethnically diverse in 2024 than in prior elections, a Pew Research Center analysis ...